Would you like to choose winners in horse racing, but find the topic of handicaps very confusing? You’re not alone. Figuring out which horse will win a race is very difficult. People who make a living betting on horse racing can tell you not only the probability or probability of a horse winning a race, but also what odds the player needs to make a profit from a bet on that runner.
This is the real key to making money horse betting. However, before you can figure out the odds versus odds ratio, you need to have a good idea of which horse is most likely to win. To do this you need to understand many factors, but the most important ones are pace and speed. Just betting on the fastest horse in the race is not a way to make a profit. They will win quite often, but because they are wagered so heavily, you will still lose money in the long run.
So obviously there is something else you need to know in order to stay ahead or at least improve your game. The best way to at least come close to making a profit from horse betting is to watch a race and find out if the fastest horses have or will have what I call a gait style appropriate for the race, going against the grain or bias.
The winner of most horse races comes from the top three horses in the speed category. In other words, look at the speed numbers for the last race of each runner and the top three will produce the winner 65%-75% of the time. That’s a big advantage. Just knowing that will put you on the right track.
Now look at the running styles of each horse. Each class and distance of race has its own specifics known as a race model. In other words, some races are usually won by early speed and a horse running within two lengths of the leader, while others are won by horses coming off pace or even far behind. Most good horse racing of past performance says something about the racing model for each race.
This is where you begin to understand how to use tempo and speed. Check out the top three horses and find out which ones have the best running style for the race. You can find situations where the horse with the fastest time in its last race perfectly matches the race model and is a real winner. You can also find situations where the opposite is true. Maybe the fastest horse doesn’t fit the racing model and has a speed problem to overcome.
In a case where a horse is clearly the fastest and also has a good running style that suits the race, it’s usually overkill. Look for the second or third fastest horse and see if there is value in the pool. In the case of a fastest horse that doesn’t fit the racing model, it can still be too much, creating a very good situation for another runner who has a style more suited to the race.
Just by comparing these two factors in each race you can often find a good bet and spot the likely winner, which may not always be the favourite.
Thanks to Bill Peterson | #Pick #winners #bet #horse #races #restricting #speed #pace
